The Illusion Of Certainty

September 12th, 2009            Email this article to a friend

Someone who’s 100% certain is naive.
Someone who’s 0% certain is lazy.
Someone who’s 25% certain is ignorant.
Someone who’s 50% certain is either confused or enlightened.
Someone who’s 75% certain is either an idiot or a scholar.
Someone who’s 99% certain is overconfident.
Someone who’s 99.999% certain is dangerous.

• Everything’s An Illusion: A Glitch In The Matrix
• Gut Vs. Brain: The Body’s Best Decision-Making Organ
• Go And Reasoning: An Interview With Milton Bradley
• Slow And Steady Wins The Race
• When Logic And Intuition Fail
• Logic Test From My Interview
• Einstein’s Riddle (The Zebra Puzzle)
• The Inductive Oracle, The Deductive Merovingian
• The Case Of The Stolen Diamond
• The Birthday That Never Arrives

2 Responses to “The Illusion Of Certainty”

1. Jeffrey Says:
   September 13th, 2009 at 3:40 pm

   I’ve been reflecting on a quote that reflects the sentiments of this post (although I’m not sure the source):

   “I remain suspicious of any individual who has strong opinions on any complex issue.”

2. Hunter Nuttall Says:
   September 14th, 2009 at 10:23 pm

   @ Jeffrey, I’d be suspicious too. Or afraid.

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